11/5/18

Legislative & Politics

  • With one day remaining until the 2018 midterm elections, early voter turnout nationwide has been well ahead of the last midterms and record turnout is projected for the elections. In Arizona, 1.46 million ballots have been voted and turned in to the Secretary of State (SOS). Comparatively, that is 95 percent of the total ballots cast in the 2014 midterms (1,537,671 ballots cast). Roughly 40 percent of the state’s registered voters have already cast ballots, leaving 2.25 million voters to cast ballots tomorrow (or sit on the sidelines). Since last week, Democrat ballots returned have narrowed the gap with Republican ballots returned to a 7.9 percent GOP advantage (GOP turnout was +12.5 in 2014). Independent voters, who are the state’s largest number of registered voters are 23.6 percent of the early voter turnout (GOP = 41.8%, DEM = 33.9%). The early voter turnout amongst the 18-29 year age group is up 217 percent. The SOS expects early ballots to account for roughly 75% of the total voter turnout. If the SOS election turnout projection holds true, Arizona will see an estimated 1.8 million ballots cast (+17 percent over the 2014 midterms).

 

  • What’s at stake in the Arizona Legislature:
  • All 90 seats (30 Senate / 60 House)
  • Republicans hold a 17-13 Senate majority – Democrats need a net gain of 3 seats to swing the majority (Democrats last controlled the Senate in 1992).
  • Republicans hold 35-25 House majority – Democrats need a net gain of six seats to swing the majority (Republicans have controlled the House since 1966).

 

  • To view the complete slate of candidates for Arizona elected office; Click Here

 

  • Latest polling on Propositions 126 (constitutional prohibition on taxing services) and Proposition 127 (clean energy mandate) both of which if passed will negatively impact fire districts and the Arizona fire service:
  • Prop 126 – 38.6% Yes / 53.1% No
  • Prop 127 – 31.8% Yes / 61.8% No

 

 

  • A quick look at what’s at stake in the 2018 midterm elections nationwide:
  • US Senate: 35 of 100 seats – Democrats need a net gain of 2 seats to swing the majority.
  • US House of Reps: all 435 seats – Democrats need a net gain of 35 seats to swing the majority.
  • State Governors: 36 of 50 states – Republicans hold 26 of 36 seats.
  • State Trifectas: 18 trifectas are rated as vulnerable. Arizona Republican trifecta is rated as moderately vulnerable (trifecta: majority party controls both chambers of the legislature and Governor’s Office – Republicans hold 13 of the 18 vulnerable trifectas).
  • State Legislatures: 6,070 seats (82% of total seats) in 87 legislative chambers.

 

53rd Arizona Legislature – 2nd Regular Session

(the general effective date of legislation passed during the last session is August 3, 2018).

 

Fire Service Measures Signed by the Governor

H2151: JOINT POWERS; FIRE PROTECTION SERVICES (AFDA position: SUPPORT) Recent Action: 3/23 signed by governor; Chapter 65, Laws 2018.

H2152: STRIKER: FINGERPRINTING; JOINT POWERS AUTHORITY (AFDA Position: SUPPORT) Recent action: 4/11 signed by the Governor; Chapter 176, Laws 2018.

H2196: CERTIFICATES OF NECESSITY; HEARINGS; DURATION (AFDA position: SUPPORT) Recent action: 3/29 signed by governor; Chapter 92, Laws 2018.

H2180: FIRE DISTRICT BUDGET HEARINGS (AFDA position: SUPPORT) Recent Action: 3/23 signed by governor; Chapter 67, Laws 2018

H2242: FIRE DISTRICTS; REVISIONS; COUNTY ISLANDS (AFDA position: SUPPORT) Recent Action: 3/29 signed by governor; Chapter 93, Laws 2018.

H2412: LEAVE OF ABSENCE; DAY; DEFINITION (PFFA / AFDA position: SUPPORT) Recent action: 3/29 signed by governor; Chapter 95, Laws 2018.

H2502: STRIKER: TRAUMATIC EVENT COUNSELING; PUBLIC SAFETY (PFFA / AFDA position: SUPPORT) Recent action: 4/23 signed by governor; Chapter 259, Laws 2018.

S1042: BACKFLOW PREVENTION; STATE FIRE CODE (AFDA position: SUPPORT) Recent Action: 3/16 signed by governor; Chapter 19, Laws 2018.

S1114: JOINT POWER AUTHORITIES; FINGERPRINTING (AFDA position: SUPPORT) Recent Action: 3/20 signed by governor; Chapter 38, Laws 2018.

 

Arizona Legislative & Political Calendar

  • November 6 – General Election – 2018 midterms
  • November 30 – Fire district elected board member / fire chief mandated statutory training – Phoenix, AZ (Information & Registration)

 

  • December 1 – Terms of office begin for November 6 elected fire board members

 

  • January 14, 2019 – 54th Arizona Legislature – 1st Regular Session Commences (69 days)

Upcoming at AFDA

  • November 30 – Fire district elected board member / fire chief mandated statutory training – Phoenix, AZ (fire district elected officials and newly appointed fire chiefs are required by law to complete 6 hours of statutory compliance training within the first year after election or appointment – this is a one-day only training session and the initial opportunity to complete the required statutory training after the November 6 General Election. Please NOTE: seating limited to 100 registrants / currently 50% confirmed registrants (Information & Registration)

 

  • December 6 – the next AFDA Board Meeting is scheduled for Thursday, December 6, 2018 at 10:00 a.m. at the Avondale Fire and Medical Department’s Headquarters – 1825 N 107th Ave. Avondale, AZ (note: the AFDA Board serves as the association’s Legislative Committee and legislative actions are discussed / vetted / determined at the Board Meeting)
  • January 17-19, 2019 – AFDA Training Conference – Laughlin, NV (6 hour mandated statutory training for fire district elected officials and fire chiefs offered)

 

July 2019 – AFCA-AFDA Leadership Conference – Glendale, AZ (6 hour mandated statutory training for fire district elected officials and fire chiefs offered)